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***BVSN is Ready for Liftoff Next Week***

4/19/2012 1:08 PM
Penny Stocks by: Lebed

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My #1 pick for 2012 BroadVision Inc. (BVSN) is up $1.41 today to $30.09 and I believe is ready for liftoff next week to substantially higher levels! On Tuesday, BVSN is hosting a major online enterprise social networking educational event along with Cisco Systems (CSCO), a $108 billion company. This will provide huge exposure for BVSN and could send the stock soaring as CSCO investors learn about BVSN and their Clearvale enterprise social platform. CSCO has invested heavily to build their own enterprise social platform the `Cisco Quad` and it bodes extremely well for BVSN that CSCO wants a piece of the enterprise social boom that is ahead. Later this year, we could see small enterprise social companies like BVSN become takeover targets of large technology companies like CSCO that are looking to build market share in this space.

With Instagram recently being acquired by Facebook for $1 billion despite having no revenues, there is no telling what BVSN could be worth in the event of a buyout, but a valuation as high as $1 billion is possible. A market cap of $1 billion would equal a BVSN share price of $217.39. BVSN`s closest comparison Yammer recently raised $85 million in private venture capital funding at an implied valuation of $1 billion and BVSN could reach there soon after the investment community becomes aware of how BVSN is positioned to be a leader in what will be the fastest growing technology space of the next 4 years! Even if we discount the current value of Yammer by 50%, a valuation for BVSN of $500 million would equal a share price of $108.70.

To read about the huge BVSN/CSCO event coming on Tuesday, simply go to: http://www.web2present.com/upcoming-webinars-details.phpid I believe this will be a huge catalyst for BVSN. I also believe that when BVSN releases their 1Q results the following day, we will receive a very bullish Clearvale update from BVSN`s CEO that is likely to add to the momentum and cause BVSN to explode next week! BVSN`s biggest catalyst in history, the IPO of Facebook, is next month! In my opinion, most BVSN shareholders will be holding onto their shares very tightly no matter how high BVSN rises next week.

Facebook is likely to surpass everybody`s highest expectations and will likely begin trading with a market cap well above $100 billion. Based on Facebook`s last private market trade on SharesPost, Facebook currently has an implied valuation of $110.25 billion or 29.7 times their 2011 revenues of $3.711 billion.

While Facebook`s biggest growth is behind them, all of BVSN`s growth is ahead of them! The enterprise social networking boom is about to get underway and by the year 2016 nearly all major businesses will be using enterprise social platforms like BVSN`s Clearvale. This industry is projected by Forrester to grow by 61% annually for the next 4 years to become a $6.4 billion market by 2016. If BVSN captures a very conservative 1% market share and trades for 29.7 times sales, BVSN will have revenues in 2016 of $64 million, a market cap of $1.9 billion, and a share price of $413.

I expect the market to begin valuing enterprise social stocks like BVSN in the short-term with a forward price/sales ratio of about 10 based on their future potential revenues. Therefore, a price/sales ratio of 10 with $64 million in annual revenues likely in the future could value BVSN later this year at $640 million or $139 per share.

While all of Facebook`s closest comparisons in the consumer social space like ZNGA, YELP, LNKD, GRPN, and RENN, are all down big from their 52-week highs... the only multi-billion dollar company in the enterprise social space Salesforce.com (CRM) gained $6.11 this morning to a new 52-week high of $164.75 and is up 62% in 2012 with a market cap now of $22.6 billion. CRM`s market cap is now up $8.7 billion in 2012, one of the largest market cap increases in the world this year.

CRM describes itself as the "enterprise cloud computing company that is leading the shift to the Social Enterprise" and its flagship product is their free enterprise social platform Chatter. BVSN`s free enterprise social platform Clearvale Express has been described as a Chatter killer. It is far superior to Chatter with countless unique features that Chatter doesn`t offer. BVSN has kept Clearvale Express under the radar until now, but BVSN is about to start aggressively marketing it and I expect it to go viral by year-end, causing Chatter users to switch over to BVSN`s Clearvale Express with many of them likely to eventually pay to upgrade to BVSN`s fully featured Clearvale Enterprise. CRM does not offer a fully featured paid platform like BVSN.

At $30.09, BVSN`s Clearvale is receiving a valuation of only $67 million. BVSN`s #1 publicly traded comparison Jive Software (JIVE) is up $0.53 today to $26.25 and is currently receiving a valuation for their Engage enterprise social platform of $1.446 billion. The valuation ratio between JIVE`s Engage and BVSN`s Clearvale is currently a shockingly high 21.58, indicating that BVSN is extremely undervalued at $30.09.

For the full two month period of February through March the Engage/Clearvale ratio averaged 12.85 and I am 100% sure it will soon return to 12.85, which would right now value BVSN at $39.98 per share. For the month of February alone the ratio averaged 11.257 and a return to there would right now value BVSN at $43.45 per share. For the time period of February 1st through March 21st the ratio averaged 10.87 and a return to there would right now value BVSN at $44.44. So in my opinion it is likely that BVSN will very quickly bounce to between $39.98 and $44.44 without any major resistance.

I could be wrong about everything I say. Always do your own research and make your own investment decisions. I am not making any price targets or valuation predictions for BVSN.

----- I have not been compensated for BVSN but the person who told me to look at BVSN is a shareholder of BVSN who has referred me investor relations business in the past and will likely continue to refer me investor relations business in the future. Another firm that is owned by a client of mine who refers investor relations business to me owns 158,000 shares of BVSN. This is a potential conflict of interest. BVSN`s share price could decline when this firm decides to sell their BVSN shares. Never invest into a stock we discuss unless you can afford to lose your entire investment. For our full disclaimer go to: http://lebed.biz/disclaimer. htm Jonathan Lebed Lebed.biz Staff This message was sent to from:

Jonathan Lebed | 350 Ramapo Valley Rd | Oakland, NJ 07436
 

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